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The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.
Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital
Financials also did well, with Club stocks Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo trading at new 52-week highs. Portfolio name Starbucks should take a page out of this book, lowering its price of coffee and food to attract more customers. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, they've, Lael Brainard, Financials, Morgan Stanley, Wells, McDonald's, Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Robert Gauthier Organizations: CNBC, University of Michigan Survey, National Economic Council, Club, Bloomberg, Starbucks, Disney, Comcast, Hulu, Jim Cramer's Charitable, McDonalds, Rte, Los Angeles Times, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, United States, Azusa , CA
Boring utility stocks are being highlighted as the next great beneficiaries of the AI boom. Goldman Sachs highlights 4 buy-rated utility stocks that are set to benefit from the AI boom. AdvertisementThe most boring area of the stock market is being awakened by the AI boom, and investors should take notice now, according to Goldman Sachs. These are the four utility stocks Goldman Sachs rates as Buy, partly due to their exposure to AI-fueled electricity demand. NextEra Energy (NEE): "Renewable segment uniquely positioned for AI data load and interconnection queue available."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Organizations: Service, Goldman, Xcel, Co, Nvidia, AMD, Computers Locations: MISO, Texas
The Dow Industrials represent the productive capacity of the economy, as its original focus was on the goods-producing sector. Over recent decades, the 30-stock Dow Industrials has been expanded to include important tech, telecom and services companies. The Dow Transports, whose constituents move goods and passengers across the country and around the globe, represent final demand. .DJI .DJT YTD line The Dow Industrials vs. Dow Transports in 2024 At the moment, the divergence is relatively mild. The Dow Theory might still have the benefit of experience and wisdom.
Persons: Dow Industrials, that's, it's, Ron Insana Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow Transports, Transports, Utilities, Dow Theory, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: U.S
Childhood friends Jeremy Brewer and Sam Levac-Levey started their first clean energy startup in 2018. Six years later, they're launching a new venture fund to invest in climate tech companies overlooked by their peers. According to PwC's 2023 study on the state of climate tech, more than 70% of investment went into energy and mobility. Brewer said Starshot is looking to invest in companies that offer "gigaton-scale solutions, that can increase their customers' profitability and revenue." They entered a climate tech accelerator in Canada called Creative Destruction Lab, where they worked for months to perfect their plan.
Persons: Jeremy Brewer, Sam Levac, Levey, Brewer, who's, Starshot, Levac Organizations: Google, Facebook, Tesla, SpaceX, Starshot, CNBC Locations: Montreal, Canada
The untimely death of a 35-year-old Bank of America associate has sparked a conversation across Wall Street over working conditions. "And to at least just start having those conversations as to how they can make junior bankers work life much better because it's been long overdue. At BofA, 100-plus hour weeks logged by junior bankers aren't unusual, said current and former employees, who questioned whether the firm's system for flagging excessive amounts of work was actually effective. But some junior bankers felt dismayed by an apparent lack of written communication from bank leaders about the incident, this person added. Crushing exhaustion, heightened demandsThe former BofA investment-banking analyst, who was not on Lukenas' team, quit in 2023 after two years.
Persons: Leo Lukenas III, BofA, Lukenas, it's, Goldman Sachs, Lukenas —, , UMB, Christopher Perkins, Perkins, Les Lukenas, Green, Leo, Reed Alexander, Emmalyse Organizations: Service, of America, Wall, Army, Green Beret, Special Forces, Reuters, New York Office, Business, Bank of America, Investment, Goldman, Heartland Financial, Inc, FIG, Citigroup, Veterans, BI, LinkedIn, Green Berets, Army Special Forces Locations: BofA, London, Wall, ebrownstein@businessinsider.com
The advent of artificial intelligence has sent demand for data centers skyrocketing, along with industrial components to keep all the AI chips from overheating. "The key for chipmakers with AI ambitions is keeping data centers cool," Melius Research analyst Jake Levinson told CNBC. Levinson said cooling technologies manufacturers Carrier Global , Trane Technologies and Johnson Controls are all seeing higher demand for HVACs. Then there are the companies that create the infrastructure used to regulate temperature – from Parker-Hannafin's fluid connectors to Dover's industrial-style pumps used in liquid cooling. "We're having to challenge ourselves and how we support that capacity growth," CEO Scott Strazik told CNBC after the company posted first-quarter earnings last month.
Persons: Jake Levinson, Levinson, DOV, Stephen Volkmann, Volkmann, Scott Strazik, He's, I've, we've Organizations: CNBC, Carrier Global, Trane Technologies, Johnson, Jefferies, Caterpillar, Cummins, GE Vernova, GE Locations: Parker
April saw the highest number of corporate bankruptcies in a year, S&P Global said. Eroding bets of an interest rate cut contribute to this, as burdened business throw in the towel. AdvertisementCorporate bankruptcies increased in recent months amid teetering confidence in a quick interest rate pivot. AdvertisementBy one measure, rising costs did slow when a rate cut looked likely in early 2024. But last month's stubborn inflation and slowing GDP made a Fed cut look unlikely, and yields shot up to 8.11%.
Persons: , April's, Frances Donald Organizations: P Global, Service, Federal, ICE, Fed, Investment
A rapidly rising market has caught a lot of investors off-guard. He loves to watch what he calls the "pain trade," the move in the markets that would catch the largest number of active investors off-guard. Surveying Monday's late-day rally on the floor, Anderson looked up at the NYSE boards and said, "the pain trade is up." The S & P 500 is now within 1.4% of its old closing high of 5,254 from March 28th. The STOXX Europe 600, essentially the S & P 500 of Europe, is also less than 1% below an historic high.
Persons: Tim Anderson, Anderson, It's, Nicholas Colas, DataTrek, Ingersoll Rand, Parker, Hannifin, it's, Alec Young, MAPsignals.com Organizations: MND Partners, NYSE, Nasdaq, Utilities, Reuters, Southern Company, EatoN Corp Locations: Europe, industrials
Arone spoke with Before the Bell to outline three things about markets right now “that investors should know, but probably don’t.”1. You write that investors might be surprised to hear that small- and mid-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks over the past five months. Why do you think that’s surprising, and what does it say about markets? Most investors think that the S&P 500 has been outperforming everything else, largely dragged up by the performance of the Magnificent 7 (Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia). The big beneficiaries of that, I think, would be a surprise for most investors — those mid-cap stocks and small-cap stocks.
Persons: , Michael Arone, Arone, That’s, that’s, Jerome Powell, I’m, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Buffett, Greg Abel, Ajit Jain, Munger’s, Read, Parija Kavilanz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bell, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Treasury, Fed, Berkshire Hathaway, Oracle, Ikea Locations: New York, Berkshire, Woodstock, Nebraska, Omaha
The industrial-focused names in the Club's portfolio wrapped up a pretty solid earnings season last week, but their stocks were largely not rewarded. AI spending First, a surge in AI investments was welcomed news for Eaton, DuPont and Linde. "Everything was about as perfect as you can get this quarter," Jim Cramer said after the print. LIN YTD mountain Linde (LIN) year-to-date performance Linde posted mixed a quarterly Thursday — an earnings beat but a revenue miss. Destocking Destocking, or whittling down excess inventory, was important at Stanley Black & Decker, DuPont, and Honeywell.
Persons: toolmaker Stanley Black, Linde, DuPont, Eaton, Craig Arnold, Jim Cramer, Ed Breen, Jim, Sanjiv Lamba, Stanley Black, Decker, Wall, SWK, destocking, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Lamba, Matthew White, Price, we're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Honeywell, Eaton, DuPont, Linde, Electrical, workloads, Club, de Nemours, Management, LIN, The, Stanley, Supply, Technologies, CNBC, Power Locations: Eaton, U.S, Pleasanton , California
The automaker is the joint venture partner of Honda and Toyota in China, and has an electric car brand called Aion. Expanding outside ChinaLike other automakers in China, GAC is also turning overseas. China's overseas car sales surged last year, putting the country on par with Japan as the world's largest exporter of cars. Dyer expects that to drive overseas demand for Chinese electric cars. Chinese consumers placed almost twice as much importance on tech features compared with U.S. consumers, Dyer said, citing AlixPartners' survey.
Persons: Evelyn Cheng, Tesla, Feng Xingya, Feng, Wei Haigang, Wei, Stephen Dyer AlixPartners, There's, Stephen Dyer, AlixPartners, Dyer, BYD, Nio, CATL, Zhong Shi Organizations: CNBC, GAC, Labor, Huawei, Honda, Toyota, China Passenger Car Association, EU, U.S, Factories, Greater China Business U.S, Ministry of Commerce, Tech, Volkswagen, SAIC Motor, Battery, China Automobile Dealers Association, Automotive, Robotics, Lotus Technology, Geely Locations: Beijing, Evelyn Cheng BEIJING, China, East, Mexico, Japan, Malaysia, Thailand, Egypt, Brazil, Turkey, Amsterdam, Greater China, Asia, U.S, Europe
Less than a month ago, analysts were calling for subdued earnings growth of just 3%. Although higher rates can be a headache, Lefkowitz said earnings growth matters most. Instead of obsessing over when interest rates will fall, Lefkowitz said investors should consider the reasoning behind the Fed's decisions. "If rates are rising and that's leading to more confidence in the earnings growth outlook, then that shouldn't be a headwind to markets," Lefkowitz said. Follow this 5-part investing game planHealthy earnings growth and a resilient economy have strategists at UBS GWM bullish about US stocks.
Persons: Jonathan Golub, weren't, that's, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, , shouldn't Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS, Business, UBS GWM, Bank of America, Federal, Healthcare
It's not just that it has been a down month (down 3.0% for the S & P 500, breaking a 5-month win streak). However, weaker does not mean down. The S & P, even in the weakest five months, was still up almost 2%. The bottom line: market timing is always a tricky affair. Many of these timing maxims could be trumped by an even better one: "It's time in the market that matters, not market timing."
Persons: It's, Nicholas Colas, Jeff Hirsch, it's Organizations: Dow, Stock Locations: It's, DataTrek
The Copenhagen-based firm subadvises funds like the Harbor International Compounders ETF (OSEA), which O'Reilly has co-managed since its launch in early September 2022. But despite launching less than two years ago, O'Reilly said in a recent interview that the ETF's success didn't happen overnight. "We feel the strategy that we have can work in any market environment," O'Reilly said. The ETF is more balanced when it comes to countries, as no more than 13% of its stocks are from a single nation. 5 international stocks to buy nowAfter outlining his investing strategy, O'Reilly spoke about five companies he's especially excited about now.
Persons: Peter O'Reilly, who's, O'Reilly, You've, he's, Germany — Organizations: London, Asset Management, Business, Carnegie Asset Management Locations: Ireland, Dublin, Copenhagen, France, Japan, United Kingdom, Germany
The S & P 500 is down by more than 3% this month, though it has still registered a more than 6% advance for the year. But many investors worry stocks have further to go before finding a durable bottom. They say stocks look overvalued even after the recent pullback, and they cite troubling headwinds for equities. 'Sell in May and go away' May has a reputation as a historically weak month for stocks. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick noted that stocks have actually been higher in May during the last nine out of 10 years.
Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Jeff Hirsch, he's, It's, Hirsch, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury Bond ETF
Valuations coming down So if earnings are up, why is the S & P off its highs? Today, a month later, 2024 earnings estimates are essentially the same but the multiple has declined to 20.8. The S & P 500 hit a low of 4,117 on Oct. 27 and only recovered when rates came down in early November. There are some big drags on earnings Some companies are seeing large declines in earnings estimates that are weighing on their sectors. When including this one-time item, the S & P 500 earnings growth rate for the first quarter declines to 5.6%, from 8.7%, LSEG has noted.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Christopher Suh, Stephen Squeri, Hess, Nick Raich, LSEG, Hal Lawton, Brian Niccol, CNBC's Kate Rogers, Horton, Paul Romanowski, Kimberly, Clark, Michael Hsu Organizations: Companies, Netflix, JPMorgan, GE Aerospace, Caterpillar, Microsoft, Merck, Ford, Waste Management, Royal, Consumer, American Express, Energy, Marathon Petroleum, Apache, Valero Energy, Oil, Occidental Petroleum, Devon Energy, ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil, Scout, Bristol Myers Squibb, Karuna Therapeutics, Boeing, Nvidia, Meta, AMD Locations: financials, industrials, Royal Caribbean, North America
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Alphabet as buy Bank of America said it is sticking with its buy rating on Alphabet following earnings Thursday. Deutsche Bank reiterates Snap as buy Deutsche Bank said it is sticking with its buy rating on the stock following earnings on Thursday. " Goldman Sachs reiterates Intel as sell Goldman Sachs said it is standing by its sell rating on Intel shares following earnings Thursday. Benchmark upgrades Western Digital to buy from hold Benchmark upgrades Western Digital following the company's "major upside" earnings report. Bank of America reiterates Nvidia as buy Bank of America said Nvidia remains a top idea at the firm.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, prioritization, Maxim, Bank of America downgrades Hertz, Raymond James, Knight, Morgan Stanley downgrades Mobileye, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Wells, Dow Organizations: Bank of America, Deutsche, Deutsche Bank, Microsoft, Intel, TAM, Apple, Barclays, Enphase Energy, Digital, " Bank of America, Sonic Automotive, underperform Bank of America, Underperform, of America, Nvidia, AMD, MU, Caterpillar, Air Defense, Swift Transportation, EPAM, IT Services, Materials, Compass Minerals, JPMorgan, Dow, Teledyne, HSBC Locations: China, underperform, Israel
Southwest Airlines and American Airlines posted losses in the first quarter of 2024. On Thursday, Southwest Airlines and American Airlines reported losses in their quarterly earnings call. Southwest Airlines CEO Bob Jordan told CNBC the decision to cease flights had "nothing to do" with Boeing's aircraft delivery delays. AdvertisementRepresentatives for Southwest Airlines and American Airlines didn't immediately respond to a request for comment from BI sent outside regular business hours. "Near term, yes, we are in a tough moment," Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun said in a letter to employees on the same day.
Persons: It's, Bob Jordan, , George Bush, Jordan, Robert Isom, I've, Isom, Isom's, Brian West, Dave Calhoun Organizations: Boeing, Airlines, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest, Service, , — Bellingham International, Cozumel International Airport, George, George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Syracuse Hancock International, CNBC, American, Bank of America Global Industrials Conference . West, BI, Max, Wednesday Locations: — Bellingham, Cozumel, Southwest, Oregon, California
As the equity market's profitability nears its all-time highs, Goldman Sachs recently shared some stocks that could see big growth over the next 12 months. In 2024, Kostin expects margin expansion will continue to support ROE growth. In the same report, Goldman Sachs shared its rebalanced ROE growth basket of stocks, which contains 50 names selected for their expected profit growth over the next 12 months. Rising growth fears, solar compensation cutbacks and rising interest rates sank solar stocks last year, but they've since made a comeback. Consensus estimates for the financials sector reveal that most analysts expect ROE growth to remain flat in the same time period.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, ROE, Kostin, Estée Lauder, Electric's, Goldman, Wells, Janney, Blackstone Organizations: Kostin, Info Tech, Deutsche Bank, GE Aerospace, Communications, Mobile Locations: Wells Fargo, China
The market was already headed toward a down session due to disappointing reactions to earnings, which haven't been entirely bad. Club earnings : Microsoft and Alphabet report after the bell Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, haven't, hasn't, it's, Mark Zuckerberg, Amy Hood, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Club, Meta, Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Microsoft, PCE, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, HCA Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Abbvie
Things are not looking up for Apple ahead of its fiscal second-quarter earnings, according to tech investor Dan Niles. Apple, which is due to report May 2, has dropped 14% this year — lagging behind other major technology stocks, such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms. Apple is also lagging behind its peers in the artificial intelligence race, which is why it keeps on exploring opportunities with potential partners such as Alphabet , Niles added. "On a longer-term basis at this valuation with no growth, I don't know why you would be bullish on it," the portfolio manager said. Niles has been bearish on Apple in the past.
Persons: Dan Niles, Satori, haven't, Niles, CNBC's, he's Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Satori Fund, Huawei isn't Locations: China
At law school, we learned about "proximate cause," one of the few valuable concepts you can take from three years of drudgery. But was that the proximate cause? No, the real proximate cause, the one that's really at fault, was the February unemployment report, which came out on March 8. At the time, many thought the proximate cause of Nvidia's pirouette was the performance of two chipmaker peers. Surely those two updates couldn't be the proximate cause of the peak of Nvidia, right?
Persons: It's, Let's, pirouette, Matt Murphy, Jay Powell, Powell, Zeus, Biden, Jim Umpleby, ferociously, Jeff Marks, Morgan Stanley, haven't, Mills, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Ann Wang Organizations: Nvidia, hasn't, Marvell Technology, Club, Broadcom, Marvell, Federal, Caterpillar, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Apple, Procter, Gamble, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Micro Locations: It's, what's, Wells Fargo, Taipei, Taiwan
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewCompared to some of its Tiger Cub peers, $48 billion Viking Global's highs and lows have been more muted. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "If the stock went up 25% tomorrow, we would probably sell it absent any other fundamental change in the business." AdvertisementThe firm's flagship long-short fund was up 5.8% in the first quarter, a person close to the firm told Business Insider, and its long-only fund returned 10.1%.
Persons: , Justin Walsh, Walsh, Hermes Organizations: Service, Tiger Cub, Tiger, Business, Harvard Business School Investment, Citadel, Business Insider, Cartier Locations: Stamford, Swiss
Nearly 76% of companies that have reported have beaten earnings expectations, while 59% have come in above analysts' expectations for revenue. A diverse group of companies reports results next week, on track to be the busiest one of the season. A company's earnings results are, of course, integral to both its near- and long-term performance. As a result, CNPC Pro screened stocks slated to report their earnings next week for those that have a history of beating analysts' expectations. The workflow automation platform beats earnings expectations 89% of the time.
Persons: They've, Meta, Piper Sandler, Five9, Baird, William Power, , Robert Hum, Fred Imbert Organizations: Dow Jones, Technology, Microsoft, Meta, Humana, Comcast, Chubb, Visa, Investment Group, JPMorgan, Citi, Cloud Locations: industrials
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